Source:(CNN)
Donald Trump doesn't need to be briefed every day by his top intelligence professionals. Most of the other leading heads of state in the Western alliance do not receive daily briefs directly from their espionage and intelligence agencies. But there is a critical caveat.
Donald Trump doesn't need to be briefed every day by his top intelligence professionals. Most of the other leading heads of state in the Western alliance do not receive daily briefs directly from their espionage and intelligence agencies. But there is a critical caveat.
The President must demonstrate convincingly that they have his unfailing
trust and respect -- and that he has their back -- at every turn. This
is what Trump has not done, at least so far.
The
CIA and the myriad other agencies that should make the American
President the world's best-informed head of state cannot become
scapegoats for any bad decisions or ill-conceived instincts. The
consequences would be altogether catastrophic for his presidency and for
the very security of the United States.
At issue is an institution that dates back to the early days of the
presidency of John F. Kennedy. Until June 1961, there was no regular,
institutionalized system of contact between the President and his
intelligence leaders.
On
June 17, 1961, the President's Intelligence Check List was born at the
request of the President who'd been blindsided badly by the CIA-led Bay
of Pigs invasion of Cuba exactly two months earlier, one of the agency's
most catastrophic failures.
Known
as the PICL (pronounced "pickle"), the briefing was central to
Kennedy's colossal success 16 months later during the Cuban Missile
Crisis, when a well-informed and briefed President went nose-to-nose
with Soviet Union leader Nikita Khrushchev and made the Russian blink.
The
PICL was delivered in written form, small enough to fit in the
president's jacket pocket. Three years later, President Lyndon Johnson
expanded the document and had it delivered each morning in person as the
President's Daily Brief.
Most
key leaders internationally receive briefings in some form or another
from their intelligence chiefs, but few have access to as regular or
comprehensive a document as does the American President.
In
Britain, the Joint Intelligence Committee (JIC) meets every Wednesday
in Whitehall, though the Prime Minister is rarely present.
"The
JIC produces papers which have very clear summaries and are never more
than three or four sides of papers on topical intelligence, and they
make what are called Key Judgments," says Sir Richard Dearlove, veteran
former head of the Secret Intelligence Service (MI6).
Absent a crisis, this system "works pretty efficiently," Dearlove said.
During
major crises, such as the war in Iraq, the 9/11 attacks and the
invasion of Afghanistan, Dearlove said he would see the Prime Minister
on most mornings -- "usually the very first meeting of the day."
But
above all, Dearlove points out, when he needed to see the Prime
Minister, it happened. "I had the right of access to the Prime Minister
any time I wanted," he concludes, "if I rang up and said, 'I have to see
you.'"
Other major
Western intelligence officials have similar arrangements. The head of
the French intelligence service, the DGSE, has direct and routine access
to the President, whenever needed.
In
Germany, the heads of the external intelligence service, the
Bundesnachrichtendienst (BND) and its internal counterpart, the BFV,
meet weekly with the chief of staff of the chancellor's office, a
minister of cabinet rank, who in turn briefs Chancellor Angela Merkel.
Similar procedures are followed in most other European countries,
according to senior intelligence officials with knowledge of their
operations.
Chinese
officials, said one Western specialist on China, awaken every day to
intelligence briefings -- though largely on what's going on inside their
country, a far greater day in, day out concern to them than most
international developments.
Russian
President Vladimir Putin, who of course came out of the intelligence
world after years in the Soviet-era KGB, is different in almost every
respect. Putin is "obsessed with getting all kinds of dossiers and
reports on a daily basis, from several kinds of secret services (FSB,
FSO, SVR)," said Mikhail Zygar, a leading chronicler of Putin and the
Kremlin's ruling elite, in an interview. "Plus everyone in his inner
circle is pretty sure that Putin reads transcripts of their personal
conversations on a daily basis."
The
key question is whether Donald Trump wants to risk being less
well-informed than Putin or any other national leader with whom he may
come in contact. If he puts himself in this position, he risks making
decisions that may not be as well-grounded in reality as they might
otherwise be. It is a most dangerous precedent.
Did
Trump receive a briefing on the state of the Russian nuclear arsenal
and its relative strength relative to the American arsenal before
tweeting his apparent willingness to restart a nuclear arms race? Did he
receive any intelligence on the already vast penetration of Israeli
settlements into lands historically claimed by Palestinians before
tweeting about the need for a UN veto on a measure to condemn their
expansion?
Over the years,
the PDB has served every President most effectively -- a concise
profile of the state of the world that morning, but much more as well.
It is a way for the President to inform himself, easily and effectively.
He can learn, in advance, of the black swan events that may be far over
the distant horizon, but traveling rapidly. He can learn of synergies,
or request elaboration that may uncover new and unheralded strengths or
weaknesses among ourselves or our foes.
If Trump is worried that face-to-face briefings could reveal his own
ignorance, he can ask for the PDB in a different format—in a daily
video, for instance, or secure podcast. But some interaction with the
intelligence community every day is vital.
Within
a matter of days of arriving in the Oval Office, he will most likely
need not only intelligence but help from the intelligence community. He
has at his disposal the world's greatest professionals who do not merit
the insults he has heaped on them. Indeed, he must demonstrate his
respect for the thousands of men and women who each day labor
untiringly, often at great danger, to keep America, but especially the
President, informed.
"It's
not just analysts, you have a whole digital network, you have spies out
everywhere, you have covert actions going on in the field," observes
Jack Devine, a former director of operations for the CIA. "Are you
disdaining them all?"
At
the entrance to the CIA headquarters in Langley, Virginia, is the
Memorial Wall with 87 stars. None carries a name. Each marks a CIA
officer who has given his or her life, anonymously, for their country.
If
Trump seeks to politicize their efforts, if he focuses on the agency's
past mistakes rather than their vast, often unheralded successes, he
risks destroying perhaps the most valuable defensive asset the United
States possesses to keep our citizens safe. Once that bond of trust is
broken, it is most difficult to regain.
0 Comments